Update: The winner of the Hottest 100 of 2017 has been announced
Update: Hottest 100 of 2017 countdown has begun (live updates)
Triple j‘s Hottest 100 of 2017 is almost here, and with a record number of votes locked in, two statistics geniuses have tracked the public’s votes to try and determine who will top this year’s countdown.
Sydney software engineer Nick Whyte is the man behind ‘100 Warm Tunas’, which bills itself as “the internet’s most accurate prediction of triple j‘s Hottest 100″.
‘100 Warm Tunas’ successfully predicted eight of the songs in last year’s top 10, and after sorting through over 66,000 votes which were posted to Instagram this year, Whyte reckons ‘HUMBLE.’ by Kendrick Lamar is the front-runner for 2017.
“‘HUMBLE.’ is far enough ahead of the other tracks in the top 10,” he tells Music Feeds.
“The same can’t be said for positions two, three and four. I expect these will shift during the countdown, especially between Gang Of Youths’ ‘Let Me Down Easy’ and ‘The Deepest Sighs, The Frankest Shadows’.”
The ‘100 Warm Tunas’ top 10 also features songs by the likes of Pnau and Angus & Julia Stone, but Whyte says it’s hard to predict exactly where they will fall.
“The rankings of the rest of the top 10 are all too close to call,” he says.
“Regardless of this, I expect the tracks in my top 10 will roughly reflect what is played out on the day, but they might just come out in a different order, similar to last year.”
Here’s the ‘100 Warm Tunas’ Spotify playlist, which has the songs listed in their predicted order:
Meanwhile, Brisbane accountant Tim Wilshire, the man behind another Hottest 100 vote-tracker called ‘The Bean Counter’s 100’, also believes ‘HUMBLE.’ has a “98 per cent probability” of claiming this year’s title.
After sorting through over 44,000 votes which were posted to Instagram, Wilshire says he’s confident with his predictions, after successfully predicting the top 22 songs in last year’s countdown (just in the wrong order).
“Second is certainly up for grabs,” he says. “Both Gang Of Youths tracks ‘The Deepest Sighs, The Frankest Shadows’ and ‘Let Me Down Easy’ have had a huge following, they’re favourites to take second and third.
“‘Ubu’ by Methyl Ethel and Lorde’s ‘Green Light’ have the following, and are some chance of being second. ‘Go Bang’ by Pnau has been massive in the late count. It will make the top 10, which ‘Chameleon’ missed out [on] last year.”
Wilshire says his vote tracking process “has been long one”.
“To give you an idea of how long it takes to count the votes, I can count 500 votes in an hour,” he says. “I’ve put in at least 90 hours from 13th December to 25th January in the count, or two-to-three hours per day.”
You can check out the top 30 vote-getters from ‘The Bean Counter’s 100’ below, or peep the full list of 200 songs at ‘The Bean Counter’s 100’ website.
Earlier this week, triple j revealed some juicy stats about this year’s Hottest 100, including the fact that it will include 65 Australian songs and 26 acts making their Hottest 100 debuts.
The Hottest 100 of 2017 will take place this Saturday, 27th January, after triple j decided to move the countdown away from 26th January. The Hottest 200 will follow on Sunday, 28th January, when Double J will also be replaying the 1997 Hottest 100.
The Bean Counter’s 100 (Top 30) As Of 25/01/18:
1. Kendrick Lamar – ‘HUMBLE.’
2. Gang Of Youths – ‘The Deepest Sighs, The Frankest Shadows’
3. Gang Of Youths – ‘Let Me Down Easy’
4. Methyl Ethel – ‘Ubu’
5. Lorde – ‘Green Light’
6. Brockhampton – ‘Sweet’
7. Pnau – ‘Go Bang’
8. Angus & Julia Stone – ‘Chateau’
9. Thundamentals – ‘Sally’
10. The Smith Street Band – ‘Birthdays’
11. Peking Duk – ‘Fake Magic’
12. Baker Boy – ‘Marryuna’
13. Khalid – ‘Young Dumb & Broke’
14. Vera Blue – ‘Regular Touch’
15. Gang Of Youths – ‘What Can I Do If The Fire Goes Out?’
16. The Killers – ‘The Man’
17. Ball Park Music – ‘Exactly How You Are’
18. Vance Joy – ‘Lay It On Me’
19. Alex Lahey – ‘Every Day’s The Weekend’
20. Alex Lahey – ‘I Haven’t Been Taking Care Of Myself’
21. Lorde – ‘Homemade Dynamite’
22. Nothing But Thieves – ‘Amsterdam’
23. Alex The Astronaut – ‘Not Worth Hiding’
24. Holy Holy – ‘True Lovers’
25. DZ Deathrays – ‘Shred For Summer’
26. The Wombats – ‘Lemon To A Knife Fight’
27. Vera Blue – ‘Mended’
28. The Jungle Giants – ‘Feel The Way I Do’
29. Amy Shark – ‘Weekends’
30. Camp Cope – ‘The Opener’